Why a Cyprus Solution May Be Closer Than Ever

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More than five decades after the Turkish invasion, shifting geopolitical realities, stronger international alliances and Turkey's evolving relationship with Europe may have created a rare window of opportunity for renewed progress on the Cyprus issue.

By Nikos Tornaritis

More than 50 years after the Turkish invasion and the continuing occupation of part of Cyprus, the Cyprus issue appears to be entering a new and potentially decisive phase.

Recent diplomatic initiatives, international developments and a changing geopolitical landscape are creating conditions that, for the first time in many years, allow for cautious optimism that the way could open for a meaningful process aimed at producing a comprehensive settlement plan.

History has shown that no problem remains permanently unsolved. International relations evolve, interests are redefined and geopolitical balances shift. What once appeared impossible can suddenly become a realistic prospect.

The Republic of Cyprus now finds itself at the centre of a region of enormous strategic importance. Developments in the Middle East, energy security, maritime routes, security in the Eastern Mediterranean and the growing role of the European Union have transformed Cyprus into an indispensable geopolitical hub.

Cyprus is no longer merely the southeastern frontier of Europe. It has become a natural bridge between Europe and the Middle East.

At the same time, the Republic's strategic relationships with France and the United States have reached unprecedented depth. Defence cooperation, political trust and Cyprus' upgraded international standing have strengthened its negotiating position and increased its influence in regional affairs.

On the other hand, Turkey also has strong incentives to pursue a new approach towards the European Union.

The upgrading of EU-Turkey relations, visa liberalisation, the deepening of the customs union, cooperation on security and defence matters and a broader rapprochement with Europe are all strategic objectives for Ankara.

It is clear that such a path will be difficult to advance without meaningful progress on the Cyprus issue.

At the same time, Turkey's president is keen to demonstrate significant achievements both on the international stage and in relations with the West.

Within that context, the Cyprus issue could evolve from a source of confrontation into an opportunity for diplomatic initiative.

Nothing, of course, is guaranteed.

The difficulties remain substantial, the differences between the sides remain significant and the requirements for a viable and functional settlement remain high.

However, the current circumstances differ from those of previous decades.

International actors today have stronger incentives to invest political capital in a successful outcome to negotiations.

Cyprus must take advantage of this moment with seriousness, confidence and a clear strategy.

By remaining committed to international law, the principles of the European Union and United Nations resolutions, it can pursue a settlement that reunifies the country, guarantees the security of all citizens and creates genuine prospects for peace and prosperity.

There may never be a "perfect" moment to resolve the Cyprus issue.

There are, however, historical opportunities that should not be missed.

All indications suggest that the present moment may be one of them.

Cyprus today carries greater international importance than ever before.

Geopolitical developments, Europe's needs, Turkey's ambitions and the strengthened position of the Republic of Cyprus have created a window of opportunity that should not be left unexplored.

Perhaps, after more than half a century, the time for a solution has finally arrived.